Marvin Bagley III Player Props, Stats & Hit Rates
Marvin Bagley III (Forward, Denver Nuggets) is averaging 12.2 points, 5.9 rebounds and 1.5 assists in 20 minutes a game over his last 10 games. Next: vs the New Orleans Pelicans, Sat 24 Oct 2026.
Plays for Denver Nuggets · Forward · Next game: vs New Orleans Pelicans, Sat 24 Oct 2026.
Prop hit rates by line
How often Marvin Bagley III went over each line. Lines sit around his last-10 average; games under 10 minutes are left out.
| Prop | Last 5 | Last 10 | Last 20 | Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points (avg 12.2) Over 6.5 |
4/5 (80%) | 8/10 (80%) | 14/20 (70%) | 0/1 (0%) |
| Over 11.5 | 3/5 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | 7/20 (35%) | 0/1 (0%) |
| Over 16.5 | 3/5 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | 5/20 (25%) | 0/1 (0%) |
| Rebounds (avg 5.9) Over 3.5 |
4/5 (80%) | 7/10 (70%) | 17/20 (85%) | 0/1 (0%) |
| Over 5.5 | 3/5 (60%) | 6/10 (60%) | 12/20 (60%) | 0/1 (0%) |
| Over 7.5 | 3/5 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | 8/20 (40%) | 0/1 (0%) |
| Assists (avg 1.5) Over 1.5 |
2/5 (40%) | 4/10 (40%) | 6/20 (30%) | 0/1 (0%) |
| Over 3.5 | 0/5 (0%) | 0/10 (0%) | 1/20 (5%) | 0/1 (0%) |
| Threes made (avg 1.2) Over 0.5 |
4/5 (80%) | 7/10 (70%) | 10/20 (50%) | 0/1 (0%) |
| Over 1.5 | 2/5 (40%) | 3/10 (30%) | 3/20 (15%) | 0/1 (0%) |
| Points + rebounds + assists (avg 19.6) Over 14.5 |
3/5 (60%) | 5/10 (50%) | 12/20 (60%) | 0/1 (0%) |
| Over 19.5 | 3/5 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | 7/20 (35%) | 0/1 (0%) |
| Over 24.5 | 3/5 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | 6/20 (30%) | 0/1 (0%) |
| Points + rebounds (avg 18.1) Over 13.5 |
3/5 (60%) | 5/10 (50%) | 10/20 (50%) | 0/1 (0%) |
| Over 17.5 | 3/5 (60%) | 5/10 (50%) | 9/20 (45%) | 0/1 (0%) |
| Over 21.5 | 3/5 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | 7/20 (35%) | 0/1 (0%) |
| Points + assists (avg 13.7) Over 9.5 |
3/5 (60%) | 7/10 (70%) | 12/20 (60%) | 0/1 (0%) |
| Over 13.5 | 3/5 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | 6/20 (30%) | 0/1 (0%) |
| Over 17.5 | 3/5 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | 5/20 (25%) | 0/1 (0%) |
| Rebounds + assists (avg 7.4) Over 3.5 |
5/5 (100%) | 9/10 (90%) | 19/20 (95%) | 1/1 (100%) |
| Over 6.5 | 3/5 (60%) | 6/10 (60%) | 12/20 (60%) | 0/1 (0%) |
| Over 9.5 | 3/5 (60%) | 4/10 (40%) | 7/20 (35%) | 0/1 (0%) |
| Steals (avg 0.5) Over 0.5 |
3/5 (60%) | 5/10 (50%) | 7/20 (35%) | 0/1 (0%) |
| Over 1.5 | 0/5 (0%) | 0/10 (0%) | 0/20 (0%) | 0/1 (0%) |
| Blocks (avg 0.5) Over 0.5 |
4/5 (80%) | 4/10 (40%) | 9/20 (45%) | 0/1 (0%) |
| Over 1.5 | 1/5 (20%) | 1/10 (10%) | 3/20 (15%) | 0/1 (0%) |
Averages
| Window | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | STL | BLK |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 | 5 | 22.2 | 15.6 | 6.6 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 20.2 | 12.2 | 5.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| 2026-27 season | 1 | 11.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025-26 season | 59 | 20.2 | 10.6 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
Against the New Orleans Pelicans: last 1
- 16 Mar · @ NOP · L 111-129 · 9 pts, 9 reb, 1 ast, 1 3pm
Game log: last 10 games
| Date | Opp | Result | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | @ OKC | L 84-96 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr | vs CHI | W 149-128 | Did not play | ||||
| 10 Apr | @ SAS | L 120-139 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr | @ PHX | L 107-112 | 26 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 3 |
| 07 Apr | @ LAC | L 103-116 | 26 | 21 | 9 | 1 | 1 |
| 05 Apr | vs LAL | W 134-128 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| 03 Apr | vs ORL | L 127-138 | Did not play | ||||
| 31 Mar | @ MIL | L 99-123 | Did not play | ||||
| 30 Mar | vs MIN | L 94-124 | Did not play | ||||
| 27 Mar | @ POR | W 100-93 | 27 | 26 | 9 | 3 | 3 |
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